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UK Defence Economics

Trevor Taylor and Linus Terhorst | 2025.05.22

This paper explores how UK defence spending contributes not only to national security but also to economic prosperity, especially under the current Labour government, which has emphasised the defence sector as a key growth area in its industrial strategy.

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Balkan JEF

Baroness Helić and Luke Coffey | 2025.05.16

Decades of peace building could unravel in the Balkan region under the influence of Russian “grey zone” activities unless a multinational security platform can mobile against the tide.

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U.S. Shipbuilding Cooperation

Henry H. Carroll and Cynthia R. Cook | 2025.05.15

U.S. naval shipbuilding faces production and capacity constraints undermining fleet readiness. Closer cooperation with allies on ship construction and repair could help counter China’s maritime threat and bolster U.S. industrial resilience.

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DeepSeek As Stimulation

Louise Marie Hurel | 2025.05.15

The launch of DeepSeek’s R1 AI model on January 27, 2025 shook global markets, wiping out $1 trillion from the tech and energy industry players.

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US Army Readiness

Jack Watling | 2025.05.14

The US Army’s fleet consolidation and narrowing of equipment speaks to a desire to change its approach to contracting and improve efficiency.

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Scenarios Defining 2035

Jon B. Alterman | 2025.05.14

The goal of scenario planning is to understand more about the future, not to predict it. Identifying key drivers of change, as well as understanding their second- and third-order effects and the interrelationships between them, does more than help to prepare for contingencies—it also helps to look for warning indicators and triggers of profound change, and it can drive action to prevent scenarios from coming about in the first place.

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History As Negotiation Strategy

Harm Kaal and Floris van Berckel Smit | 2025.05.14

Peace negotiations with Russia require more than a contemporary understanding of events, and diplomats would do well to recognise the patterns Russia’s past teach us.

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Responsible Cyber Behaviour

Louise Marie Hurel | 2025.05.13

Understanding responsible cyber behaviour requires consideration of cultural values, regional alliances and domestic factors. This paper provides a wider conceptual lens, looking beyond the UN debate and, to some degree, Western perspectives.

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Drone Saturation

Benjamin Jensen and Yasir Atalan | 2025.05.13

Starting in September 2024, Russia significantly ramped up its use of Shahed drones, increasing from approximately 200 launches per week to more than 1,000 per week by March 2025 as part of a sustained pressure campaign.

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