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Gulf War To Strait War

Philip Shetler-Jones | 2026.03.11

Ripples of economic disruption radiating from the attack on Iran by Israel and the US give notice of the effect a war over Taiwan would spread through the world.

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France’s Nuclear Promise

Darya Dolzikova and Héloïse Fayet | 2026.03.11

Macron’s concept of “forward deterrence” offers a European approach to nuclear deterrence.

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Hard Power Matters

Matthew Savill | 2026.03.10

Aside from policy differences with the US, the UK’s Armed Forces’ size and capacity make difficult any large UK involvement in war with Iran.

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Enter EU’s Cyber Deterrence

Alexander Klimburg | 2026.03.10

Is European cyber deterrence possible? Europe faces a perfect storm of increased cyberattacks and hybrid warfare, a resurgent Russia, and waning U.S. engagement. To counter these challenges, a new European Cyber Operations Group is urged.

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Deterrence At Scale

Luis Simón | 2026.03.10

As Russia and China pressure U.S. allies, deterrence increasingly depends on factories, not just forces. The answer lies not in identical arsenals, but in selectively integrated defense industries to produce the right capabilities at scale.

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Russia’s Nuclear Exports

Jane Nakano | 2026.03.06

Russia’s nuclear export strategy and outlook are profoundly strained by western sanctions and rising competition from China.

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“20:40:40” Solution

Laurence Thomson | 2026.03.06

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has brutally validated an old truth about modern war: it requires not just military forces in the field but the societal ability to regenerate, outproduce and outlast.

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Fog, Proxies And Uncertainty

Louise Marie Hurel | 2026.03.05

As Operations Epic Fury and Roaring Lion develop, several dimensions of cyber activity demand attention and careful qualification.

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Sustainability For Resilience

Dan Marks and Ed Arnold | 2026.03.04

At the 2025 NATO Summit in The Hague, allies agreed to spend a total of 5% of their GDP on defence by 2035, with 3.5% allocated to core military expenditures and 1.5% to security-related spending, including civil preparedness and resilience.

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